Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 520.177180 553.092856 587.291178 625.534613 667.180111 711.234847 761.465182
2026-01-25 478.759639 524.228590 573.368014 630.634632 695.808453 767.989149 854.414230
2026-02-01 452.591260 505.874479 565.084367 636.165282 719.717930 815.479162 934.500417
2026-02-08 433.297670 492.511191 559.833539 642.676310 742.750679 860.870599 1012.547063
2026-02-15 414.554083 477.873602 551.263198 643.492096 757.557029 895.690632 1078.266560
2026-02-22 398.460396 465.023645 543.494111 643.974379 770.905189 928.256822 1141.859967
2026-03-01 385.741886 455.282243 538.549515 647.038487 786.827091 963.989916 1210.708980
2026-03-08 372.449208 443.996937 530.861311 645.809129 796.593122 991.582987 1269.609481
2026-03-15 361.427482 434.894762 525.255896 646.601548 808.516993 1022.005814 1333.481625
2026-03-22 351.001611 425.991754 519.339619 646.422173 818.726901 1050.124463 1395.226548
2026-03-29 341.662377 418.016017 514.142519 646.716824 829.236741 1078.729762 1458.865767
2026-04-05 334.429361 412.406930 511.673254 650.342349 844.176729 1113.878407 1533.806750
2026-04-12 326.271606 405.296498 506.938064 650.634274 854.388063 1142.702045 1601.027681
2026-04-19 320.612744 401.231764 506.017555 655.985851 871.792002 1182.548912 1687.442622
2026-04-26 315.513712 397.680247 505.565143 661.818071 889.933760 1224.130180 1779.031426
2026-05-03 311.108833 394.864905 505.930653 668.682758 909.699081 1268.917719 1878.561068
2026-05-10 304.869568 389.318326 502.283519 669.542979 920.402922 1300.111064 1957.448566
2026-05-17 298.863318 383.880193 498.557736 670.051531 930.442047 1330.544814 2036.831753
2026-05-24 294.081462 379.966156 496.795211 673.282701 944.641056 1368.095834 2130.906149
2026-05-31 288.087269 374.168499 492.146085 671.986282 951.635451 1394.175147 2206.244834
2026-06-07 283.059877 369.571983 489.038921 672.821922 961.898711 1425.955381 2293.931526
2026-06-14 277.956881 364.714407 485.381136 672.632761 970.416482 1455.090560 2378.617372
2026-06-21 273.237488 360.265230 482.159785 672.943487 979.655020 1485.759042 2468.258954